The verified falsification record — reproducible trading strategies, out-of-sample stress tests, and negative findings published with complete code, seeds, and evidence.
BTC 15m volume residual |fwd r|: val and OOS both clear after |r| control (~+4–6 bps); discovery residual null. WATCH, not a trade.
SergBTC 5m volume residual: val γ t=+8.45, OOS +7.58; discovery also clears. WATCH magnitude leftover, not a trade.
SergETH 15m volume residual C vs A: val t_γ=+2.12, OOS +2.56, disc also clears (unlike BTC). ~4.7 bps extra |r|. WATCH, not a trade.
SergSOL 15m volume residual: raw C/A t=+3.48, residual t_γ=+1.08 fails val. Selection, not portable. NO_EDGE.
SergBTC 1h volume+price shock ablation: val C/A~1.13–1.20 on magnitude, OOS residual null after |r| control, no sign edge. WATCH.
Serg